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Company Update

31 Mei 2024

Fixed Income Report May 31, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street equities faced more losses on May 30, with the DJI sank by -0.86%, the S&P 500 slipped by -0.60%, and the Nasdaq dropped by -1.08%.
• US stock indexes closed lower on Thursday, with the S&P 500 falling to a 2-week low, and the Dow sliding to a 4-week low. Stocks were pressured by concerns that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for longer, triggering a risk-off sentiment in asset markets.
• The 10-yr UST yields slipped by -6.0 bps to 4.55%, while the 2-yr yields fell by -4.0 bps to 4.92%. US Treasuries rose Thursday on positive economic reports and bond dealer short covering after USD183bn in T-note auctions.
• The US economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.3% in 1Q24, falling short of the 1.6% initially estimated and down from the 3.4% growth seen in 4Q23, largely due to a reduced consumer spending, exports, state and local government spending, and decreased federal government spending.
• US April pending home sales dropped -7.7% MoM, far below the expected -1.0% MoM, marking the biggest decline in over three years. Meanwhile, US weekly initial unemployment claims increased by 3,000 to 219,000, indicating a slightly weaker labor market compared to the expected 217,000.
• The Eurozone unemployment rate for April unexpectedly dropped by 0.1 to a record low of 6.4%, surpassing expectations that it would remain steady at 6.5%, reflecting a stronger labor market.
• Global bond yields moved lower on Thursday, the German bund yield fell by -3.8 bps to 2.65%, while the 10-yr UK gilt yield slid by -5.3 bps to 4.34%. The Japanese 10-yr JGB yield declined by -2.1 bps to 1.06%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian benchmark series of LCY government bonds moved lower on May 30, with the 10-yr benchmark yield rose by +1.84 bps to 6.95%, while the 2-yr yield climbed by +8.87 bps to 6.68%.
• The IDR weakened against the USD at Thursday’s close (USD/IDR rose by +0.62% to 16,260). The USD dominated amid the weakening major Asian currencies, which led to a -1.49% decline in the JCI to 7.034, as markets favored the greenback ahead of today’s anticipated release of sticky inflation data.
• The government's debt position in April 2024 rose by 0.92% to IDR8,338.43tn (vs. 8,262.10tn in March 2024). The debt-to-GDP ratio at the end of April 2024 was 38.64%, down from 38.79% in the previous month. The government's debt consists of SBN amounting to IDR7,333.11tn (87.94%) and government loans totaling IDR1,005.32tn (12.06%).
• In Thursday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0101 and FR0100 garnered significant interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of ID1.68tn and IDR0.88tn, respectively. Furthermore, FR0081, PBS032, and SR015 exhibited high trading frequency.
 
Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.85-7.10% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0081, FR0094, FR0064, FR0101, FR0087, FR0093. 
 
 
Disclaimer On

FR81 FR94 FR64 FR101 FR87 FR93

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