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Company Update

27 Mei 2024

Fixed Income Report May 27, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street equities closed higher on May 22, with the DJI edged up by +0.01%, the S&P 500 surged by +0.70%, and the Nasdaq closed up by +1.10%. 
• US stocks advanced on Friday, buoyed by positive Q1 corporate earnings results. The market was supported by strength in chip stocks, particularly after Nvidia's 9% surge on Thursday, which boosted confidence in continued strong spending on AI computing.
• The 10-yr UST yields edged down by -1.0 bps to 4.46%, while the 2-yr yields rose by 2.0 bps to 4.93%. Bond yields turned lower on Friday after the University of Michigan’s revised US May inflation expectations downward.
• US Initial claims for state unemployment benefits decreased by 8,000 to a seasonally adjusted 215,000 for the week ending May 18. This was below the 220,000 claims forecast by economists polled by Reuters.
• The US May-2024 S&P manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose by +0.9 to 50.9 (vs. 50 in Apr-2024), while the US May S&P services PMI surged by +3.5 to 54.8 (vs 51.3 in Apr-2024).
• In Euro, the Eurozone May S&P manufacturing PMI rose by 1.7 to a 15-month high of 47.4, exceeding expectations of 46.1. The S&P composite PMI also increased by 0.6 to 52.3, exceeding expectations of 52.0 and marking the fastest expansion in a year.
• Global bond yields were mixed on Friday, the German bund yield declined by -1.3 bps to 2.58%, while the 10-yr UK gilts yield grew by +0.2 bps to 4.26%. The Japanese 10-yr JGB yield surged by +1.01 bps to 2.90%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian benchmark series of LCY government bonds ended higher on May 22, with the 10-yr benchmark yield fell by -0.50 bps to 6.85%, resulting in a spread of +239 bps over the UST 10-yr yield.
• The IDR appreciated against the USD at Wednesday’s close (USD/IDR fell by -0.01% to 15,993). The Rupiah edged up after BI kept the interest rate steady at 6.25%, but could face pressure at market opening today due to the dollar index gaining strength after the Fed’s restrictive policy signals last Thursday.
• The government is set to conduct SUN auctions in local currencies on Tuesday, aiming for an indicative target of IDR22tn. The auctions will feature new issuances of SPN03240828 and SPN12250529, along with the reopening of FR101, FRSDG001, FR100, FR98, FR97, and FR102. We anticipate the bid-to-cover ratio to fall between 1.8x and 2.7x.
• In Wednesday's Indo-GB series trading, PBS032 and FR0073 garnered significant interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of ID2.00tn and IDR1.61tn, respectively. Furthermore, PBS036, PBS038, and FR0081 exhibited high trading frequency.
 
Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.85-7.10% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0081, FR0086, FR0095, FR0101, FR0087, FR0098. 
 
 
Disclaimer On

FR81 FR86 FR95 FR101 FR87 FR98

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