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Company Update

22 Mei 2024

Fixed Income Report May 22, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street equities closed with gains on May 21, with the DJI rose by +0.17%, the S&P 500 surged by +0.25%, and the Nasdaq closed up by +0.22%. 
• Tuesday saw US stocks close moderately higher, just below the all-time highs set last week. Gains were capped by comments from Fed’s Waller and Fed’s Bostic, who emphasized waiting for inflation to decrease before reducing interest rates. Lower T-note yields on Tuesday provided a boost to equities.
• The 10-yr UST yields declined by -3.0 bps to 4.41%, while the 2-yr yields were unchanged at 4.82%. Treasury yields retreated as investors evaluated inflation, while multiple Fed officials reiterated their caution about inflation and its potential return to the central bank’s 2% target range.
• In Euro, The Eurozone posted a trade surplus of EUR24.1bn in March 2024, exceeding the EUR19.1bn surplus recorded in the same month the previous year and surpassing market forecasts of EUR19.9bn. This marked the largest trade surplus since December 2020.
• In Asia, Japan's trade deficit for April 2024 increased to JPY462.5bn, compared to JPY429.8bn in the same period the previous year, and higher than the market forecast of a JPY339.5bn deficit.
• Global bond yields moved lower on Tuesday, the German bund yield declined by -1.9 bps to 2.51%, while the 10-yr UK gilts yield slid by -1.8 bps to 4.15%. The Japanese 10-yr JGB yield edged down by -0.10 bps to 0.98%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian benchmark series of LCY government bonds ended lower on May 21, with the 10-yr benchmark yield surged by +0.10 bps to 6.88%, resulting in a spread of +247 bps over the UST 10-yr yield.
• The IDR weakened against the USD at Tuesday’s close (USD/IDR rose by +0.13% to 15,995).
• In Tuesday’s SVBI auction, Investors were able to secure USD350mn in awarded bids out of a total bid of USD375mn. The bidding rates showed a narrower range compared to the previous auction, where USD366mn was awarded from a bid total of USD431mn.
• In Monday's plenary session, the Ministry of Finance (MoF) adjusted the economic growth target for 2025 to 5.1%-5.5%, forecasting state revenue to be between 12.14% and 12.36% of GDP. Meanwhile, state spending is estimated to range from 14.59% to 15.18% of GDP, with a fiscal deficit projected between 2.45% and 2.82% of GDP.
• In Tuesday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0100 and FR0101 garnered significant interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of ID1.91tn and IDR1.08tn, respectively. Furthermore, FR0100, FR0081, and PBS038 exhibited high trading frequency.
 
Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.85-7.10% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0086, FR0064, FR0095, FR0101, FR0091, FR0098. 
 
 
Disclaimer On

FR86 FR64 FR95 FR101 FR91 FR98

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