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Company Update

05 Juni 2024

Fixed Income Report June 5, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street equities closed with gains on Jun 4, with the DJI surged by +0.36%, the S&P 500 edged up by +0.15%, and the Nasdaq closed higher by +0.17%.
• US stocks recovered from early losses on Tuesday and posted moderate gains as bond yields tumbled following a larger-than-expected decline in US job openings for April. Energy stocks dragged on Tuesday's market rally as WTI crude prices plunged over 1%, hitting a 3-month low. The drop was fueled by concerns that OPEC+'s decision to reinstate production earlier than anticipated will lead to a global oil supply glut.
• The 10-yr UST yields sank by -8.0 bps to 4.33%, while the 2-yr yields dropped by -5.0 bps to 4.77%. The 10-yr yield declined to a two-week low June, signaling that the US economy's weakening resilience to higher interest rates is bolstering the case for multiple rate cuts this year.
• The number of US JOLTS job openings fell by -296,000 to 8.059 million in April, hitting a three-year low and undershooting the expected 8.350 million, signaling a weaker labor market.
• Meanwhile in Europe, the German unemployment increased by +25,000 in May, marking the largest rise in 7 months and suggesting a weaker labor market than the anticipated +7,000.
• In Asia, average cash earnings in Japan rose by 2.1% YoY in April 2024, marking an acceleration from a 0.6% increase in March and beating expectations for a 1.7%  gain. This was the highest increase since June last year.
• Global bond yields declined on Tuesday: the German bund yield fell by -4.7 bps to 2.53%, while the 10-yr UK gilt yield decreased by -4.3 bps to 4.18%, and the Japanese 10-yr JGB yield dropped by -3.9 bps to 1.03%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian benchmark series of LCY government bonds moved higher on Jun 4, with the 10-yr benchmark yield fell by -1.22 bps to 6.86%, while the 2-yr yield declined by -7.01 bps to 6.39%.
• The IDR appreciated against the USD at Tuesday’s close (USD/IDR fell by -0.06% to 16,220). The Rupiah received support on the back of shifting market expectations for a potential Fed rate cut in September, stemming from a renewed contraction in US manufacturing activity.
• The SBSN auction on Tuesday received a significant upswing in bids, with a total incoming bid of IDR26.2tn, higher than the previous IDR16.5tn. Meanwhile, the PBSG001 secured the highest awarded amount of IDR2.60tn, with bid-to-cover ratio 1,26 out of the total awarded sum of IDR10.0tn.
• In Tuesday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0100 and FR0101 garnered significant interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of IDR2.14tn and IDR1.75tn, respectively. Additionally, FR0081, PBS032, and PBS038 showed high trading frequency.
 
Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.85-7.10% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0081, FR0056, FR0094, FR0064, FR0099, FR0087. 
 
 
Disclaimer On

FR81 FR56 FR94 FR64 FR99 FR87

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