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Company Update

03 Juni 2024

Fixed Income Report June 3, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street equities ended mixed on May 31, with the DJI surged by +1.51%, the S&P 500 grew by +0.80%, and the Nasdaq edged down by -0.01%.
• US stocks advanced on Friday, except for the Nasdaq, propelled by end-of-month volatility and index rebalancing. Declines in the 10-year T-note yield following the expected US PCE deflator supported gains, while tech stocks were weighed down by weak chip stocks and selling pressure on mega-cap tech stocks.
• The 10-yr UST yields fell by -4.0 bps to 4.51%, while the 2-yr yields slid by -3.0 bps to 4.89%. T-notes yields declined on Friday, following the as-expected US PCE deflator and a weaker-than-expected US personal spending report.
• The US April PCE deflator rose by 0.3% MoM and 2.7% YoY, unchanged from March and in line with expectations. Meanwhile, the core PCE deflator increased by 0.2% MoM and 2.8% YoY, aligning with market forecasts.
• US April personal spending rose 0.2% MoM, down from March's revised 0.7% and slightly below market expectations of 0.3%. Personal income in April increased by 0.3% MoM, in line with market expectations and down from March's +0.5%.
• The Eurozone May preliminary CPI increased to +2.6% YoY from +2.4% in April, slightly exceeding market expectations of +2.5%. The Eurozone May preliminary core CPI rose to +2.9% YoY from +2.7% in April, which was stronger than market expectations of +2.7%.
• Global bond yields were mixed on Friday, the German bund yield rose by +1.2 bps to 2.66%, while the 10-yr UK gilt yield slid by -2.8 bps to 4.31%. The Japanese 10-yr JGB yield inched up by +0.6 bps to 1.07%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian benchmark series of LCY government bonds moved higher on May 31, with the 10-yr benchmark yield fell by -3.56 bps to 6.91%, while the 2-yr yield fell by -3.06 bps to 6.64%.
• The IDR appreciated against the USD at Friday’s close (USD/IDR fell by -0.06% to 16,250). The Rupiah made a modest gain in the last trading session of May, defying the weakening trend seen in most major Asian currencies. Meanwhile, the dollar index climbed by 0.12% to 104.85.
• Based on transaction data from May 27 to May 30, 2024, non-residents in the domestic financial market recorded a net purchase of IDR4.75tn. This consisted of a net purchase of IDR3.31tn in the government bond market, a net purchase of IDR6.19tn in SRBI, and a net sale of IDR4.75tn in the stock market.
• In Friday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0100 and FR0101 garnered significant interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of ID3.96tn and IDR2.08tn, respectively. Furthermore, PBS038, FR0100, and FR0081 exhibited high trading frequency.
 
Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.85-7.10% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0081, FR0094, FR0064, FR0099, FR0087. 
 
 
Disclaimer On

FR81 FR94 FR64 FR99 FR87

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