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Company Update

27 Juni 2024

Fixed Income Report June 27, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street equities closed with modest gains on June 26, with the DJIA edged up by +0.04%, the S&P 500 rose by +0.16% and the Nasdaq closed up by +0.49%.
• Stock indexes edged higher on Wednesday. FedEx jumped over 15% after surpassing Q4 adjusted EPS expectations and providing a strong 2025 adjusted EPS forecast. Amazon.com also gained over 3% following the announcement of a new online storefront for budget-friendly apparel and home goods.
• The 10-yr UST yields surged by +9.0 bps to 4.32%, while the 2-yr yields advanced by +6.0 bps to 4.71%. Bond yields climbed Wednesday following tepid demand for the Treasury’s USD70bn auction of 5-year T-notes, which had a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.35, falling short of the 10-auction average of 2.42.
• In May, US new home sales plunged -11.3% MoM to a six-month low of 619,000 units, below expectations of 633,000, suggesting potential concerns about a housing market slowdown.
• US mortgage applications saw a slight increase +0.8% last week, driven by a 1.2% rise in purchase applications. Refinancing activity dipped slightly -0.1%. Meanwhile, the average 30-year fixed rate remained unchanged at 6.93%.
• In Euro, the German GfK Consumer Climate Indicator fell to -21.8, missing expectations of -18.9. This marks the first decline in five months and comes despite a slight upward revision to -21.0 for the previous month.
• In Asia, the Japanese yen continued its downward spiral on Wednesday, weakening -0.4% to 160.35. The yen has already fallen over 12% this year, prompting the government to spend an estimated JPY9.8tn in a recent intervention attempt.
• Global bond yields moved higher on Wednesday: the 10-yr German bund yield rose by +4.1 bps to 2.45%, the 10-yr UK gilt yield surged by +5.3 bps to 4.13%, and the Japanese 10-yr JGB yield increased by +2.6 bps to 1.03%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian benchmark series of LCY government bond moved lower on June 26, with the 10-yr benchmark yield rose by +1.07 bps to 7.09%, while the 2-yr yield grew by +0.19 bps to 6.71%.
• The IDR weakened against the USD on Wednesday (USD/IDR +0.18% to 16,405). The Rupiah depreciated today as the dollar index climbed to 105.80 with market sentiment remains cautious regarding the Fed’s hawkish stance.
• Strong investor appetite greeted Indonesia's global sukuk issuance (INDOIS) on Tuesday. Total orders reached USD4.5bn for the three series (5, 10 & 30 years). The government successfully issued USD2.35bn at competitive yields ranging from 5.1% to 5.5% (Bloomberg).
• In Wednesday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0100 and FR0098 attracted notable interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of IDR4.06tn and IDR1.57tn, respectively. Additionally, PBS032, FR0100, and FR0098 were the most actively traded series.

Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.85-7.15% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0084, FR0101, FR0082, FR0074, FR0100, FR0098. 
 
 
Disclaimer On

FR84 FR101 FR82 FR74 FR100 FR98

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