Beranda

RESEARCH

Company Update

21 Juni 2024

Fixed Income Report June 21, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street equities ended mixed on June 20, with the DJIA rose by +0.77%, the S&P 500 slid by -0.25% and the Nasdaq closed down by -0.79%.
• US stocks moved higher Thursday, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq setting new records thanks to strong chip stocks. However, a -5% decline in Qualcomm led to a sell-off in chip stocks, affecting the broader market. Additionally, weak US economic reports also supported stocks, fueling hopes for Fed rate cuts later this year. 
• The 10-yr UST yields rose by +3.0 bps to 4.25% and the 2-yr yields edged up by +1.0 bps to 4.70%. Hawkish comments from Fed's Kashkari on Thursday, predicting 2% inflation in 1-2 years, pressured T-notes. However, prices rebounded later due to dovish US economic news.
• The US initial unemployment claims dipped -5,000 below expectations to 238,000 in the latest week. This decrease suggests a potentially weaker labor market than previously anticipated.
• The US housing starts in May fell unexpectedly by -5.5% MoM to a 4-year low of 1.27 million, weaker than expectations of 1.37 million. Building permits also dropped by -3.8% MoM to 1.38 million, falling short of expectations 1.45 million.
• In Europe, the SNB cut its key policy rate by 25 bps to 1.25% in June 2024, meeting market expectations. The decision mirrors a similar rate cut in March, reinforcing the SNB's role as a leader in the global policy easing cycle.
• Meanwhile, the BOE held the bank rate at 5.25% on Thursday, with seven officials voting to maintain and two for a cut. The "finely balanced" decision suggests a potential rate cut ahead.
• Global bond yields were mixed on Thursday: the 10-yr German bund yield grew by +2.7 bps to 2.43%, the 10-yr UK gilt yield eased by -1.0 bps to 4.05%, and the Japanese 10-yr JGB yield closed up by +2.6 bps to 0.96%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian benchmark series of LCY government bond moved lower on June 20, with the 10-yr benchmark yield rose by +0.52 bps to 7.12%, while the 2-yr yield surged by +3.92 bps to 6.74%.
• The IDR depreciated against the USD on Thursday (USD/IDR rose by +0.40% to 16,430). Following Wednesday's gains, the Rupiah fell on Thursday alongside major Asian currencies, despite Bank Indonesia's decision to hold interest rates unchanged.
• As anticipated, Bank Indonesia maintained the BI Rate at 6.25% on Thursday (20/6). The Deposit Facility and Lending Facility rates also remained unchanged at 5.50% and 7.00%, respectively.
• In Thursday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0100 and FR0101 attracted notable interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of IDR2.84tn and IDR2.61tn, respectively. Additionally, FR0100, PBS032, and FR0097 were the most actively traded series.
 
Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.85-7.20% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0081, FR0101, FR0082, FR0074, FR0065, FR0098. 
 
 
Disclaimer On

FR81 FR101 FR82 FR74 FR65 FR98

Back Download PDF
Copyright © 2024 MNC Sekuritas. All Right Reserved. A Member of MNC Group