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Company Update

19 Juni 2024

Fixed Income Report June 19, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street equities closed higher on June 15. The DJIA rose by +0.15%, the S&P 500 grew by +0.25%, while the Nasdaq edged up by +0.03%.
• US stocks posted modest gains on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 reaching a new all-time high, securing its 31st record close this year. Strength in chipmakers on Tuesday lifted the overall market, driven by a +3% increase in Nvidia, which pushed the chipmaker's market capitalization just above USD3.34tn.
• US Treasury yields tumbled on Tuesday, with the 10-yr yield decreased by -6.0 bps to 4.22% and the 2-yr yields slipped by -6.0 bps to 4.69%. The weak US May retail sales report triggered a rally in T-notes, further bolstered by the strong demand at the USD13bn 20-year T-bond auction.
• US May retail sales increased by +0.1% MoM, less than the forecasted +0.3% MoM. April retail sales were revised down to -0.2% MoM from unchanged. Meanwhile, US May manufacturing production increased by +0.9% MoM, exceeding expectations of +0.3% MoM rise.
• In Europe, the Euro Stoxx 50 tumbled to a 3.5-month low on Friday due to rising concerns about political turmoil in France after President Macron announced a snap legislative election following his party's defeat in European Parliament elections last Sunday.
• In Asia, the Bank of Japan held its key short-term interest rate steady at 0% to 0.1% in June, following its historic March hike that ended eight years of negative rates.
• Global bond yields moved lower on Tuesday: the German bund yield slipped by -1.7 bps to 2.39%, the 10-yr UK gilt yield fell by -6.7 bps to 4.04%, and the Japanese 10-yr JGB yield decreased by -3.1 bps to 0.94%.
 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian benchmark series of LCY government bond moved lower on June 14, with the 10-yr benchmark yield jumped by +19.39 bps to 7.17%, while the 2-yr yield advanced by +7.55 bps to 6.65%.
• The IDR weakened against the USD on Friday (USD/IDR surged by +0.80% to 16,400). Rupiah weakness is partly due to the robust US dollar index, which climbed to 105.48 by the afternoon. Moreover, massive sell-offs in the stock and domestic bond markets further contributed to the rupiah's fall.
• The auction for SRBI instruments on Friday saw reduced demand, with bids amounting to IDR35.3tn, a decline from the previous IDR56.5tn. Bank Indonesia awarded fewer bids (IDR28.5tn vs IDR46.3tn), while winning interest rates remained flat at 7.16%, 7.27%, and 7.34% for the 6, 9, and 12-month tenors, respectively.
• Based on settlement data up to June 13, 2024, non-residents have made net sales of IDR35.09tn in the SBN market and IDR10.40tn in the stock market, while they have recorded net purchases of IDR108.90tn in SRBI.
• In Friday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0100 and FR0101 garnered significant interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of IDR8.52tn and IDR4.65tn, respectively. Additionally, FR0100, FR0101, and FR0097 recorded as the most actively traded series.
 
Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.85-7.20% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0081, FR0101, FR0087, FR0091, FR0100, FR0098. 
 
 
Disclaimer On

FR81 FR101 FR87 FR91 FR100 FR98

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