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Company Update

24 Juli 2024

Fixed Income Report July 24, 2024

Global Market Updates     
• Wall Street retreated on July 23, with the DJIA slid by -0.14%, the S&P 500 fell by -0.16% and the Nasdaq edged down by -0.06%.
• US stocks traded quietly on Tuesday as investors remained cautious ahead of tech earnings reports. The 10-year Treasury yield dipped slightly, possibly due to recent weak US economic data. Markets are awaiting Friday’s PCE deflator report for clues on when inflation might fall sufficiently to prompt the Fed to consider a rate cut.
• The 10-yr UST yields decreased by -1.0 bps to 4.25%, with the 2-yr yields remained unchanged at 4.50%. T-note prices were benefited from weaker-than-expected US economic reports and a -1.5 bps decline in the 10-year breakeven inflation expectations rate to 2.27%.
• June's US existing home sales fell by -5.4% MoM to 3.89 million units, missing the expected -3.2% MoM decline to 3.89 million units. This marks the lowest sales level of the year, as high mortgage rates and elevated home prices continue to pressure the market.
• The Euro Area's consumer confidence climbed by 1.0 points to -13 in July 2024, up from -14 in June, reaching its highest level since February 2022 and exceeding the anticipated -13.4, based on initial estimates.
• In Asia, the finance ministry of India reduced the fiscal deficit target to 4.9% for the year ending March 2025, a revision from the 5.1% target announced in February’s pre-election interim budget.
• Global bond yields were mixed on Tuesday: the 10-yr German bund yield fell by -5.7 bps to 2.44%, the 10-yr UK gilt yield dropped by -3.7 bps to 4.12%, and the Japanese 10-yr JGB yield inched up by +1.1 bps to 1.06%.

 
Domestic Market Updates 
• The Indonesian benchmark series of LCY government bond were mixed on July 23, with the 10-yr benchmark yield edged up by +0.8 bps to 6.99%, while the 2-yr yield fell by -1.2 bps to 6.70%.
• The IDR strengthened against the USD on Tuesday, with USD/IDR fell by -0.06% to 16,210, driven by strong demand in the government bond auction, resulting in lower yields on short-terms tenors.
• In Tuesday’s SUN auction, investors secured IDR22.0tn in winning bids from a total of IDR57.19tn. The series auctioned included new issuance of SPN03241023 and the reopening of SPN12250710, FR0101, FR0100, FR0098, FR0097, and FR0102. Notably, FR0100 achieved the highest awarded bid, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.46, securing IDR10.30tn from a total bid of IDR15.05tn.
• In Tuesday's Indo-GB series trading, FR0100, FR0101, and FR0096 attracted notable interest in outright transactions, with the highest trade volumes of IDR11.77tn, IDR6.46tn, and IDR1.56tn, respectively. Additionally, FR0100, FR0097, and PBS032 were the most frequently traded series. 

Market Forecast 
• Given the recent developments that unfolded within the global and domestic markets, we expect the 10-yr Indo GB yield to move within the range of 6.85-7.10% for today.
• Attractive Indo GB series to be traded today : FR0081, FR0084, FR0056, FR0080, FR0098. 
 
 
Disclaimer On

FR81 FR84 FR56 FR80 FR98

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